/institutional/perspectives/portfolio-strategy/fixed-income-outlook-q1-2017

Assessing Value in a Faith-Based Rally

Our first quarter 2017 report reflects expectations for strong risk-asset performance as President Trump’s economic agenda takes shape.

February 15, 2017


Report Highlights

Time will tell how successful President Trump will be in implementing his policy proposals, but the various thematic areas being discussed—tax reform, infrastructure spending, and deregulation—are all constructive for U.S. economic growth. The United States is the locomotive of the world. When our economy is growing, dynamic, and strong, it is a boon to the global economy, which is already experiencing a synchronous expansion. Thus far, U.S. risk assets have rallied in anticipation of pro-growth fiscal policy outcomes, but the outcome is far from certain. Nevertheless, the U.S. economic backdrop is strong and should lead to a decline in the corporate default rate. As we discuss in our report, we expect risk assets will continue to perform well, even if a healthy dose of caution causes consolidation around current levels.

 
 
 
Important Notices and Disclosures

This article is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. This article contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. ©2017, Guggenheim Partners. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. © 2017 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. All rights reserved. Guggenheim, Guggenheim Partners and Innovative Solutions. Enduring Values. are registered trademarks of Guggenheim Capital, LLC.


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VIDEOS AND PODCASTS

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First Quarter 2022 Market Outlook

Maria Giraldo, CFA, Managing Director, Investment Research, and Evan Serdensky, Director, Portfolio Management, provide our macro and markets outlook.

Macro Markets Podcast 

Macro Markets Podcast: Episode #13: The Fed, Credit Quality, and Bank Loans

U.S. Economist Matt Bush analyzes the latest Fed announcement and labor and inflation data, Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo discusses credit risk while the Fed tightens, and Managing Director Chris Keywork updates on the bank loan market.







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