Time will tell how successful President Trump will be in implementing his policy proposals, but the various thematic areas being discussed—tax reform, infrastructure spending, and deregulation—are all constructive for U.S. economic growth. The United States is the locomotive of the world. When our economy is growing, dynamic, and strong, it is a boon to the global economy, which is already experiencing a synchronous expansion. Thus far, U.S. risk assets have rallied in anticipation of pro-growth fiscal policy outcomes, but the outcome is far from certain. Nevertheless, the U.S. economic backdrop is strong and should lead to a decline in the corporate default rate. As we discuss in our report, we expect risk assets will continue to perform well, even if a healthy dose of caution causes consolidation around current levels.
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