/perspectives/macroeconomic-research/el-nino-could-add-$30-billion-to-u-s-economy

El Niño Could Add $30 Billion to U.S. Economy

Our research suggests the massive El Niño weather pattern has the potential to add 1.5 percent to U.S. gross domestic product in the first quarter.

January 27, 2016

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FEATURED PERSPECTIVES

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China Matters More Than Ever

Cooperation and understanding between China and United States is vital as global economic and environmental challenges mount.

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A Payroll Tax Holiday Will Put the U.S. Back to Work

The pandemic creates a good opportunity to make Social Security more sustainable.

June 08, 2020

The Fed’s Roadmap

The Fed has increasingly unorthodox policy options if the economy remains mired in a protracted downturn.


VIDEO

Fourth Quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook 

Fourth Quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook

Brian Smedley, Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, and Portfolio Manager Adam Bloch share insights from the fourth quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook.

2020 Macro Themes 

Macro Themes for 2020

Brian Smedley, Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research, discusses major trends likely to shape markets this year.







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