/perspectives/media/context-for-chinas-developing-real-estate-crisis

Context for China’s Developing Real-Estate Crisis

Scott Minerd, Chairman of Investments and Global CIO, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss Evergrande and other events leading up to the FOMC meeting.

September 21, 2021

 

 

Key Takeaways:

  • Evergrande is not another Great Financial Crisis, but it echoes Long-Term Capital and the collapse of Thai baht.
  • China’s President Xi is boxed into a corner between “common prosperity” and bailing out out a real estate developer.
  • The Evergrande crisis, combined with disappointing economic data and Delta variant could lead to market correction.
  • At this week’s FOMC meeting the Federal Reserve may say how it will taper, but not when. A rate hike is unlikely before late 2023 or 2024.
  • The coming fiscal stimulus package will be the last of the extraordinary COVID relief measures.


Read Macro Alert: Weak Data and Fiscal Uncertainty Will Delay Fed Tapering

 


FEATURED PERSPECTIVES

May 18, 2022

Fed Aggressiveness Following Delayed Liftoff Sets Up 2023 Collision

The risks of tightening into a downturn.

March 22, 2022

For Lessons on Fighting Inflation, Skip Over Volcker to 1946

Clues from history on how to successfully end the current surge in prices.

March 04, 2022

Credit Returns in the Upcoming Fed Hiking Cycle

Exploring the performance of leveraged credit in past tightening cycles.


VIDEOS AND PODCASTS

First Quarter 2022 Market Outlook 

First Quarter 2022 Market Outlook

Maria Giraldo, CFA, Managing Director, Investment Research, and Evan Serdensky, Director, Portfolio Management, provide our macro and markets outlook.

Macro Markets Podcast 

Macro Markets Podcast: Episode #13: The Fed, Credit Quality, and Bank Loans

U.S. Economist Matt Bush analyzes the latest Fed announcement and labor and inflation data, Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo discusses credit risk while the Fed tightens, and Managing Director Chris Keywork updates on the bank loan market.







Read a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) carefully before investing. It contains the investment objective, risks charges, expenses and the other information, which should be considered carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) click here or call 800.820.0888.

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Fund Management (Europe) Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.

© Guggenheim Investments. All rights reserved.

Research our firm with FINRA Broker Check.

• Not FDIC Insured • No Bank Guarantee • May Lose Value

This website is directed to and intended for use by citizens or residents of the United States of America only. The material provided on this website is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.