1. Home
  2. Perspectives
  3. Portfolio Strategy
  4. Fixed-Income Outlook: Managing Through a Persistent State of Heightened Volatility

Portfolio Strategy

Fixed-Income Outlook: Managing Through a Persistent State of Heightened Volatility

May 24, 2016

In the second quarter 2016 edition of the Fixed-Income Outlook, the leaders of our fixed-income investment team discuss relative value and our current economic outlook.

Report Highlights

  • We expect the heightened first quarter volatility will continue into the summer. This will create opportunities to allocate to positions overly discounted due to unwarranted fears of recession or financial crisis.
  • Macroeconomic factors, such as solid but unspectacular economic growth, a cautious Fed, and improving oil market supply/demand fundamentals, underpin our generally positive outlook for U.S. credit.
  • A stabilized oil market should support credit performance of issuers in the energy sector. Our outlook applies primarily to the investment-grade corporate bond market, but it should also support select high-yield issuers as well.
  • Structured credit continues to have a significant weighting in our strategies based on our relative value analysis across fixed-income markets.
  • We expect the Fed to raise rates once in 2016. In our view, policymakers will be watching Chinese growth, the “Brexit” vote in June, and the U.S. presidential election in November.
  • Our investment process, which is designed to avoid cognitive biases, snap judgments, and other decision-making pitfalls, provides a foundation for disciplined, systematic, and repeatable investment results that does not rely on one key individual or group.
 

Important Notices and Disclosures

This article is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. This article contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. ©2016, Guggenheim Partners. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.
 



Portfolio Strategy

The ABCs of ABS

Finding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed securities.

Read More

Global CIO Outlook

A Contrarian's View on Inflation Fears

Longer-term bond yields are near their highs for this cycle, while the environment for riskier assets like high-yield bonds, bank loans and stocks remains positive.

Read More

Sector Views

High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook: Focus on Floating Rate

Conditions bode well for credit, but a more aggressive Fed and geopolitics could bring volatility. 

Read More



Read a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) carefully before investing. It contains the investment objective, risks charges, expenses and the other information, which should be considered carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) click here or call 800.820.0888.

Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC ("Guggenheim"), which includes Security Investors, LLC ("SI"), Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, ("GFIA") and Guggenheim Partners Investment Management ("GPIM") the investment advisers to the referenced funds. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, an affiliate of Guggenheim, SI, GFIA and GPIM.

© Guggenheim Investments. All rights reserved.

Research our firm with FINRA Broker Check.

• Not FDIC Insured • No Bank Guarantee • May Lose Value

This website is directed to and intended for use by citizens or residents of the United States of America only. The information provided does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy, or an offer to sell securities in any jurisdiction, or to any person to who, it is not lawful to make such an offer. All content has been provided for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be and should not be construed as, (i) a recommendation; (ii) legal or tax advice; and/or (iii) a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and /or legal professional regarding your specific situation. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.