Real estate investors are beginning to face headwinds, but the market is unlikely to see any material downward cycle trend until supply begins to overtake demand. With 10-year U.S. Treasury yields falling and the yield curve flat, loan terms of five and seven years are more attractive for lenders. Unique value-added opportunities, such as the planned conversion of the former Westside Pavilion Mall in Los Angeles into creative office space for Google, are also allowing investors to unlock value in underused properties in attractive locations and create debt opportunities for higher-yield bridge financing investments. Respondents to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 2019 Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey predicted strong demand from both borrowers and lenders for mortgage loans in 2019, albeit a bit weaker than in 2018, and capital sources remain plentiful for real estate investors.
—Jennifer A. Marler, Senior Managing Director; William Bennett, Managing Director; Ted Jung, Director
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