Weekly ViewPoint

Guggenheim Investments' Mike Schwager offers his weekly views on the market. Mr. Schwager, Chief Market Strategist for Guggenheim Investments, is responsible for analyzing trends in the economy and financial markets.


December 14, 2015

Fed Up

The major market indices finished the week broadly lower reflecting the ongoing plunge in oil and commodity prices. Oil finished the week near the lowest level in 7 years resulting from growing concern over global economic growth and OPEC’s failure to curb production levels at its recent meeting.

December 07, 2015

Lift Off Appears Imminent

The major market indices finished the week little changed as a late-week rally spurred by the better than expected monthly payroll report was offset by concerns earlier in the week over lackluster holiday sales and a disappointing policy announcement from the European Central Bank.

November 23, 2015

The Rally Resumes

The major market indices rebounded nicely from the prior week’s losses and have now finished higher in seven of the past eight weeks. Gains over the period have been driven by signs of economic stabilization in China, hints of more monetary easing in Europe, and growing comfort with the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will begin raising rates next month.

November 16, 2015

Rally Runs Out of Steam

The major market indices finished the week broadly lower with the S&P 500 posting its first weekly loss in seven weeks. Weighing on the markets were renewed worries over the pace of global growth, the growing likelihood the Federal Reserve will raise rates at the December FOMC meeting, a nearly 8% sell-off in oil prices and the violation of some major technical support levels.

November 02, 2015

Headwinds Continue to Fade

The major market indices finished the week higher with the S&P 500 advancing for a fifth straight week. The S&P finished the month up over 8%, the best monthly performance since October 2011 when stocks gained 10.8%. Driving the gains was clarity on Fed policy, the budget resolution in Washington and solid third quarter earnings trends.

October 26, 2015

Fed Meeting on Deck

The major market indices finished the week solidly higher with the S&P 500 advancing for a fourth straight week. The catalysts for last week’s gains included further signs China’s economy is beginning to stabilize, growing speculation the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates at current levels until next year, and hints from European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi that the ECB could ramp up its stimulus efforts at their December meeting.

October 19, 2015

The Snapback Rally Continues

Markets have a tendency to toggle between perception and reality and the gloom and doom narrative that was in place during late August/early September always seemed a little excessive. Reality now appears to be setting in as the recent economic data out of China hasn’t been nearly as bad as feared.

October 12, 2015

Is the Seasonal Rally Starting to Kick In?

The major market indices finished the week solidly higher reflecting the dovish tone of the FOMC meeting minutes, a solid uptick in oil prices (the Energy sector paced the gains last week, adding 7.55%) and the S&P 500’s break above its 50 day moving average.

October 05, 2015

The Fed Guessing Game Will Likely Continue

The major market indices finished the week moderately higher as investors shrugged off fears over the pace of global economic growth and uncertainty surrounding the timing of Fed lift-off.

September 28, 2015

The ‘Buyer’s Strike’ Continues

The major market indices finished the week lower as global economic worries kept many investors close to the sidelines. Investors did however get some clarity on two issues (Fed policy & China) that have been plaguing the market over the past couple weeks.

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