/perspectives/macroeconomic-research

Macroeconomic Research

Our Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Team analyzes a wide range of economic data and market behavior to synthesize the implications for investors and the potential direction of policy and markets.


 

Macro Markets Podcast Episode 53: The Wide Opportunity Set in Bonds and Asymmetric Future Fed Policy

It’s been 10 months since the Fed’s last rate hike and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, and Matt Bush, our U.S. Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss what’s next for the economy and markets.


May 29, 2024

Macroeconomic Update: Despite Q1 Setback, Lower Inflation and Fed Cuts Still Coming 

The Fed’s higher-for-longer approach should pay off, opening the door to cuts later this year.


March 27, 2024

First Quarter 2024 Quarterly Macro Themes

Research spotlight on what’s next.


February 22, 2024

Macroeconomic Update: Fed Shifting to Easing Mode as Inflation and Labor Market Cool

Shift to Fed easing cycle helps brighten the economic outlook, but risks remain.


January 11, 2024

11 Macroeconomic Themes for 2024

11 trends that will shape credit markets in 2024.


November 20, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: The Economy Is Not Immune to the Effect of Tight Monetary Policy

Recency bias hits the market’s economic outlook.


September 15, 2023

Third Quarter 2023 Quarterly Macro Themes

Research spotlight on what’s next.


August 21, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: Strong First Half Doesn’t Negate Recession Concerns

U.S. economic activity has been better than expected, but leading recession indicators still argue for caution.


June 20, 2023

Second Quarter 2023 Quarterly Macro Themes

Research spotlight on what’s next.


May 16, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: The Economic Cycle Is Reaching a Turning Point

Leading signals are flashing red as the debt ceiling takes center stage.







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