/perspectives


Sector Views    |   July 18, 2018

Late-Cycle Boost and Boom 

Investors should stay guarded for exogenous shocks that could pull the next recession forward and cause markets to reprice credit risk.


Global CIO Outlook    |   July 17, 2018

No One Wins a Trade War

If you want to see who the real victims of tariffs are, go look in the mirror.


Portfolio Strategy    |   May 16, 2018

Positioned for Choppier Waters

Fixed-Income Outlook: After several quarters of low volatility, tight spreads, and abundant liquidity, financial conditions are shifting.


Macroeconomic Research    |   May 09, 2018

Forecasting the Next Recession: Updating Our Outlook for Recession Timing

New developments in fiscal policy, the labor market, and the neutral interest rate suggest that the expansion could extend into the latter half of our recession range.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2018

Seeking a Return on Sustainable Development

A framework for transitioning sustainable investing to an institutional asset class.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 26, 2018

When Fiscal and Monetary Policy Collide

Prepare for when the effects of fiscal stimulus begin to wear off and monetary policy keeps getting more restrictive.


VIDEO

Forecasting the Next Recession

Forecasting the Next Recession

Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”

Watch Video

Core Conundrum

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, shares insights on the fixed-income market and explains the Guggenheim approach to solving the Core Conundrum.

Watch Video


May 23, 2018

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2018

Selected charts from our Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate conditions for more rate, credit, and equity volatility going forward.

August 07, 2017

The Transition Away from Libor

Plans are afoot to establish a replacement for Libor beyond the FCA’s 2021 end date.



Macroeconomic Research    |   January 16, 2018

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2018 and beyond.


Portfolio Strategy    |   August 08, 2017

The ABCs of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

Finding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed securities.


Global CIO Outlook    |   May 01, 2017

The Keys to American Growth

Policymakers take heed: Successful economic policy is still determined by the four essential factors of production—land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship.


Portfolio Strategy    |   April 05, 2017

Understanding Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

Explaining the structure and investor-friendly features of collateralized loan obligations, an often misunderstood sector of structured credit.




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