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Macroeconomic Research

Our Macroeconomic Research Team analyzes a wide range of economic data and market behavior to synthesize the implications for investors and the potential direction of policy and markets.


 


February 17, 2017

Factoring in Late-Cycle Fiscal Stimulus

The Fed will likely need to hike rates at a faster pace than the markets are pricing in.


February 15, 2017

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q1 2017

Selected charts from our First Quarter 2017 Fixed-Income Outlook reflect market conditions as the Fed’s path and President Trump’s policy agenda come into focus.


January 23, 2017

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2017

Ten charts illustrate the global macroeconomic trends most likely to shape the investment environment in 2017 and beyond.


December 15, 2016

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q4 2016

At a glance, selected charts from our Fourth Quarter 2016 Fixed-Income Outlook highlight views from our fixed-income investment team on relative value and macroeconomic conditions.


December 15, 2016

Expecting More 2017 Hikes than the Market

Markets will be grappling with a tightening labor market, rising inflation, and, not least, a new administration.


September 08, 2016

Expansion Continues Despite Weak Q1

U.S. economic growth was below trend in the first quarter, but our second-quarter Macroeconomic Outlook calls for a rebound in the second half of 2016.


August 19, 2016

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q3 2016

At a glance, selected charts from our Third Quarter 2016 Fixed-Income Outlook highlight views from our fixed-income investment team on relative value and macroeconomic conditions.


August 17, 2016

Steady as She Goes

Our third-quarter Macroeconomic Outlook indicates that a strong U.S. consumer combined with a wary Fed and global stimulus should support U.S. credit markets.


June 10, 2016

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2016

At a glance, selected charts from our Q2 2016 Fixed-Income Outlook summarize our current economic outlook and views on relative value.


March 17, 2016

The U.S. Economy Is Fundamentally Sound

Our first-quarter Macroeconomic Outlook suggests recession fears are overblown, and that the oil market should rebalance in the second half.


January 28, 2016

Macro Forecasts for 2016

Scott Minerd, Chairman of Investments and Global CIO, analyzes in 10 charts global macroeconomic trends most likely to shape the investment environment.


January 27, 2016

El Niño Could Add $30 Billion to U.S. Economy

Our research suggests the massive El Niño weather pattern has the potential to add 1.5 percent to U.S. gross domestic product in the first quarter.







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