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Macroeconomic and Investment Research

Our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Team analyzes a wide range of economic data and market behavior to synthesize the implications for investors and the potential direction of policy and markets.


 

Macro Markets Podcast Episode 48: Why We Like Structured Credit

Karthik Narayanan and Danny Gibbs give an overview of the structured credit market.


February 22, 2024

Macroeconomic Update: Fed Shifting to Easing Mode as Inflation and Labor Market Cool

Shift to Fed easing cycle helps brighten the economic outlook, but risks remain.


January 11, 2024

11 Macroeconomic Themes for 2024

11 trends that will shape credit markets in 2024.


November 20, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: The Economy Is Not Immune to the Effect of Tight Monetary Policy

Recency bias hits the market’s economic outlook.


September 15, 2023

Third Quarter 2023 Quarterly Macro Themes

Research spotlight on what’s next.


August 21, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: Strong First Half Doesn’t Negate Recession Concerns

U.S. economic activity has been better than expected, but leading recession indicators still argue for caution.


June 20, 2023

Second Quarter 2023 Quarterly Macro Themes

Research spotlight on what’s next.


May 16, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: The Economic Cycle Is Reaching a Turning Point

Leading signals are flashing red as the debt ceiling takes center stage.


February 22, 2023

Macroeconomic Update: Goldilocks Economy Now, But Recession Looms in 2023

We expect that a recession in 2023 will not be overly severe, particularly with improved global prospects.







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