/institutional/perspectives


Global CIO Outlook    |   July 29, 2019    

The Fed's Sugar High

Rational immigration policy, not rate cuts, is the way to avoid recession.


Sector Views    |   July 17, 2019     |     High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

High-Yield Credit in a Fed Easing Cycle

High-yield corporate bond spreads and bank loan discount margins typically widen when the Fed is lowering interest rates.


Portfolio Strategy    |   June 17, 2019     |     Fixed-Income Outlook

Managing While Risk Premia Shrink

The Federal Reserve’s policy pivot has supported a rally in most credit sectors, but investors should worry about late cycle excesses.


Global CIO Outlook    |   May 23, 2019    

U.S.-China Trade War: The New Long March

Beijing is preparing for a protracted standoff as the U.S.-China trade war ramps up.


Macroeconomic Research    |   April 09, 2019    

Forecasting the Next Recession: How Severe Will the Next Recession Be?

Our Recession Probability Model and Recession Dashboard suggest the recession could come as early as first half of 2020 but may not be as severe as past recessions.


VIDEO

Forecasting the Next Recession

Tools for Forecasting the Next Recession

The methodology and metrics that inform our recession outlook.

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Fixed-Income Outlook

Second Quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook

Portfolio Manager Steve Brown and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley share insights from the second quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook.

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June 17, 2019

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2019

Selected charts from our Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate why we believe near-term market strength is an opportunity to reduce risk.

March 07, 2019

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q1 2019

Selected charts from our First Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate why we believe late-cycle drama is unfolding.



Portfolio Strategy    |   May 01, 2019    

Understanding Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

Explaining the structure and investor-friendly features of collateralized loan obligations, an often misunderstood sector of structured credit.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2019    

Sustainability Through the Power of Partnerships

It will not be possible for one government, organization, or person to solve the sustainable development challenges of our society.


Portfolio Strategy    |   July 09, 2018    

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Shortening duration, maintaining an investment-grade portfolio, and generating attractive yields do not have to be competing investment objectives for core fixed-income investors.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2018    

Seeking a Return on Sustainable Development

A framework for transitioning sustainable investing to an institutional asset class.


Portfolio Strategy    |   August 08, 2017    

The ABCs of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

Finding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed securities.




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Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited and Guggenheim Partners India Management.