/institutional/perspectives


Global CIO Outlook    |   January 24, 2019

Amber Lights Flash at Davos

Should the mood this year at Davos prove once again to be a contra-indicator, this may be the signal that the economy is likely to re-accelerate soon and that the party in risk assets continues.


Sector Views    |   January 18, 2019

Up the Escalator, Down the Elevator

An uptick in corporate defaults in 2019 will mark the beginning of a prolonged period of stress in the corporate bond market.


Macroeconomic Research    |   January 16, 2019

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2019

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2019 and beyond.


Global CIO Outlook    |   December 27, 2018

Sometimes Meteors Strike the Earth

What would be a normal seasonal correction is turning into the worst December selloff in equities since the Great Depression.


Portfolio Strategy    |   November 19, 2018

Jogging to the Exits

Fixed-Income Outlook: Preparing for the market turbulence that typically occurs in the run up to a recession.


Macroeconomic Research    |   October 29, 2018

Forecasting the Next Recession: The Yield Curve Doesn’t Lie

Our Recession Probability Model and Recession Dashboard continue to suggest a recession is likely to begin in early 2020. Investors ignore the yield curve’s signal at their peril.


Portfolio Strategy    |   July 09, 2018

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Shortening duration, maintaining an investment-grade portfolio, and generating attractive yields do not have to be competing investment objectives for core fixed-income investors.


VIDEO

Forecasting the Next Recession

Forecasting the Next Recession

Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”

Watch Video

Fixed-Income Outlook

Fourth Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook

Portfolio Manager Steve Brown and Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group Director Matt Bush share insights from the fourth quarter 2018 Fixed-Income Outlook

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January 16, 2019

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2019

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2019 and beyond.

November 19, 2018

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q4 2018

Selected charts from our Fourth Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate why we believe it is time to start jogging to the exits.



Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2018

Seeking a Return on Sustainable Development

A framework for transitioning sustainable investing to an institutional asset class.


Portfolio Strategy    |   August 08, 2017

The ABCs of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

Finding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed securities.


Portfolio Strategy    |   April 05, 2017

Understanding Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

Explaining the structure and investor-friendly features of collateralized loan obligations, an often misunderstood sector of structured credit.




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Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Real Estate, LLC, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited and Guggenheim Partners India Management.