/institutional/perspectives


Portfolio Strategy    |   May 16, 2018

Positioned for Choppier Waters

Fixed-Income Outlook: After several quarters of low volatility, tight spreads, and abundant liquidity, financial conditions are shifting.


Macroeconomic Research    |   May 09, 2018

Forecasting the Next Recession: Updating Our Outlook for Recession Timing

New developments in fiscal policy, the labor market, and the neutral interest rate suggest that the expansion could extend into the latter half of our recession range.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2018

Seeking a Return on Sustainable Development

A framework for transitioning sustainable investing to an institutional asset class.


Sector Views    |   April 12, 2018

Not Too Soon to Think About Defaults and Recovery Rates

Benign conditions support near term value in credit, but default rates will rise as the Fed tightens further and corporate debt levels continue to grow.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 26, 2018

When Fiscal and Monetary Policy Collide

Prepare for when the effects of fiscal stimulus begin to wear off and monetary policy keeps getting more restrictive.


Global CIO Outlook    |   February 20, 2018

The Market Is Finally Getting the Joke

Investors are coming to terms with the idea that the Fed will keep raising rates because of inflationary and economic pressures.


VIDEO

Forecasting the Next Recession

Forecating the Next Recession

Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”

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Fixed-Income Outlook

Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook

Portfolio Manager Steve Brown and Matt Bush, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, share insights from the Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook, and explain how macroeconomic inputs inform our asset allocation.

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May 23, 2018

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2018

Selected charts from our Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate conditions for more rate, credit, and equity volatility going forward.

May 09, 2018

Forecasting the Next Recession: Updating Our Outlook for Recession Timing

New developments in fiscal policy, the labor market, and the neutral interest rate suggest that the expansion could extend into the latter half of our recession range.



Macroeconomic Research    |   January 16, 2018

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2018 and beyond.


Global CIO Outlook    |   May 01, 2017

The Keys to American Growth

Policymakers take heed: Successful economic policy is still determined by the four essential factors of production—land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship.


Portfolio Strategy    |   April 12, 2017

The Core Conundrum

The deep chasm between investors’ return targets and current market realities is creating a conundrum for core fixed-income investors.


Portfolio Strategy    |   April 05, 2017

Understanding Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

Explaining the structure and investor-friendly features of collateralized loan obligations, an often misunderstood sector of structured credit.




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Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Real Estate, LLC, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited and Guggenheim Partners India Management.