/perspectives/portfolio-strategy/specialized-teams-evaluate-war-in-ukraine

Specialized Teams Evaluate War in Ukraine

Guggenheim’s Investment Process Case Study

April 25, 2022


There are good and bad markets, and every so often investors have to contend with a market crisis, such as the Great Financial crisis, the pandemic, or the oil price shock of 2014-2016.  The challenge for investors—and one of the lessons from behavioral finance—is to have an investment process that is consistently applied whatever the market condition. We have designed the Guggenheim investment process to be a repeatable, scalable, and predictable approach to asset management. Now we are contending with the repercussions of the war in Ukraine and once again leveraging our process to evaluate the rising threat both to the global economy and individual industries and companies.

We wish for a swift conclusion to the hostilities in Ukraine. In the meantime we continue to seek to mitigate downside risk while seeking compelling long-term risk-adjusted returns for our clients.

A principal goal of the Guggenheim Investment Fixed Income Investment Process is to avoid suboptimal decisions that can result from thinking and responding too reactively. Guggenheim’s investment process deliberately seeks to slow down decision making by disaggregating the primary functions in portfolio management into specialized teams: Macroeconomic Research, Sector Teams, the Portfolio Construction Group, and Portfolio Management, overlaid with a dedicated Risk Management function. In doing so, each of these groups has more time to focus on its area of expertise. In keeping with our philosophy, rooted in behavioral finance, Guggenheim’s investment process synthesizes information from each group with the goal of making purposeful decisions while minimizing cognitive biases. In short, the Guggenheim investment process seeks to ensure that we have gathered all the information we need to make a decision, and that we have taken the time to weigh the potential outcomes of that decision.

Risk Management

Each of our Fixed Income Teams has been and continues to conduct analysis of the situation in Ukraine that is specific to each Team’s specialty. Each team’s effort contributes to the collective knowledge of the Firm’s overall investment process.

Our investment team of teams had not planned in advance a response to a full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Nevertheless, as General Stanley McChrystal wrote about Captain Sully Sullenberger’s crew, “all were capable of adjusting to the unexpected with creative solutions on the spot, coherently and as a group. Their structure—not their plan—was their strategy.”

These inputs illustrate how each team approaches the same central challenge from different perspectives to inform a much more detailed roadmap than any one group could provide on its own. It also shows that while each team operates independently of the others, the information gathered is freely and constantly communicated for the benefit of the whole group. In our dynamic investment process, there is a constant communication flow within each of the investment teams, as well as between and among teams. The same process is generally followed for all of our actively managed fixed-income accounts, from institutional separate accounts to investment products such as mutual funds. Most importantly, while the specifics of each market cycle or crisis might be different, the process is the same, enabling our investment team of teams to continually evaluate investment risks and opportunities.

The following is a selection of the work done by each team in this undertaking.

Specialized Teams Evaluate War in Ukraine Investment Process Case Study Teams Evaluate War in Ukraine
Important Notices and Disclosures

One of the most important aspects of our review and analysis is ensuring that our firm complies with all applicable sanctions restrictions in connection with Russia, Belarus & Ukraine. All of our investment and business operations are subject to a robust internal compliance program that ensures appropriate compliance with such laws and regulations.

There is no guarantee that Guggenheim’s risk management will be successful. Current and future holdings are subject to investment risk, including the possible loss of principal.

Read a fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) carefully before investing. It contains the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses and other information, which should be considered carefully before investing. Obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) at GuggenheimInvestments.com or call 800.820.0888.

This material is distributed or presented for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Fund Management (Europe) Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.

©2022 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.

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VIDEOS AND PODCASTS

Fed Day: The Argument for 100 Basis Points 

Fed Day: The Argument for 100 Basis Points

Scott Minerd, Guggenheim Partners Global CIO and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins Bloomberg TV on Fed Day.

Macro Markets Podcast 

Macro Markets Podcast Episode 21: Measuring Sustainable Infrastructure

Jim Pass, head of project finance for Guggenheim Investments, and Kate Newman from the World Wildlife Fund talk about the most recent research collaboration between Guggenheim and WWF, a survey of infrastructure investors and developers.







Read a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) carefully before investing. It contains the investment objective, risks charges, expenses and the other information, which should be considered carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) click here or call 800.820.0888.

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.

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